How Decision Desk calls a raceįor people new to election watching, it might seem ridiculous to have an election called with less than 1 percent of the vote counted. In Iowa, Decision Desk had a person on the ground to get the results directly from the party. And it uses old-fashioned methods, like phone calls and faxes - though to a far lesser extent than the AP does. It also scrapes information directly from other public sites. Decision Desk uses an API, or application programming interface, that essentially allows the firm to get the information at the same time as it’s published on the website, provided by election officials. Media outlets pay them to do the extra work necessary to pull results together. This is where firms like Decision Desk come in. They also aren’t necessarily easy to find through a Google search. They often do not post the most useful information front and center - like where to vote and election results. But if you’ve ever tried to access one of these sites, you’ve probably noticed they are mostly terrible. We have a contract with Decision Desk to publish its data.įor example, state officials responsible for reporting elections generally report them on a public website. Media outlets rely on firms like Decision Desk to make sense of publicly available information in real time. We trust Decision Desk because it uses gold-standard methods to call elections. It beat its main competitor, the AP, by 47 minutes in New Hampshire and by 15 minutes in Nevada, and it called the race almost immediately in South Carolina. It’s also been quite fast, relative to competitors. In 2020, Decision Desk has made no incorrect calls.
The Associated Press had to recall that election too. It was an extraordinarily close race, and though at first it looked like Valadao had a lead that wouldn’t be affected by mail-in ballots, it ultimately flipped on the last mail-in ballots.
It’s only had to go back on one election call since it started offering its services to clients like Vox, which was in California’s 21st Congressional District, where Republican David Valadao lost to Democrat TJ Cox. We’ve worked with Decision Desk since 2017. We rely on data powered by Decision Desk HQ - a firm that provides trustworthy, timely information. As the race continues to run tight, Democrats in the state have reportedly been pressing their national party members to unleash more money into the race, confident that the party has favorable odds of flipping the seat.This year, Vox is publishing live election results for every presidential primary and in many down-ballot races. Meanwhile, 43% of voters view Budd favorably, compared to 39% unfavorably.īoth candidates have lodged run-of-the-mill political attacks against each other, swiping over crime, abortion, inflation, and more. Some 41% of voters view her favorably, compared to 40% unfavorably. About 43% of voters surveyed said Trump's backing would make them less likely to vote for him, compared to 30% who were more inclined to vote for him due to Trump's endorsement.ĬLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINERīeasley, who served as the chief justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court from 2019 to 2020, has a lower favorability rating than Budd, according to the poll. However, Trump's endorsement may not be doing him favors among surveyed voters. The former president also held a rally in support of the congressman last month. Watch our latest 2022 DDHQ Forecast video here: /8aQLKN3rjD- Decision Desk HQ October 4, 2022īudd has been endorsed by Trump, who was vexed by Burr's vote to convict him for his actions surrounding the Jan. As a result, the race has shifted from "Lean R" to "Toss Up". Ted Budd (R) in the last three polls in North Carolina's U.S. Cheri Beasley (D) has polled ahead of, or tied with, Rep.
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